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Jamie Dupree

Democratic Delegates and Changing Polls

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Jamie Dupree
@ May 2, 2008 12:00 AM
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On one hand, I think we are witnessing the inevitable move towards the Democratic nomination by Barack Obama. On the other, maybe we are watching a Hillary Clinton comeback. Or we could be seeing both.

The exact answer was sort of hard to divine on Thursday, as the day began with the stunning switch by superdelegate Joe Andrew, who wasn't just any superdelegate, as he was appointed to run the national Democratic Party by then-President Bill Clinton.

"This has got to come to an end," Andrew said of the race between Obama and Clinton.

In a letter that he sent to other superdelegates, Andrew said "a vote for Hillary Clinton is a vote to continue this process, and a vote to continue this process is a vote that assists John McCain."

Making it even more sweet was that Andrew was a pledged superdelegate for Clinton. So going to Obama is a net change of two, not just one.

Clinton more than made up for that later in the day, when she got the support of five "automatic" delegates.

Automatic?

These are delegate slots that had not been assigned. In these cases, it is usually well known party leaders who get them - they are sort of like superdelegates.

The four that Clinton got from New York included state Attorney General Andrew Cuomo. She also received one new automatic delegate from Connecticut.

All of that scoreboard watching came as Obama and his wife made the rounds with network television interviews, still trying to squelch any negative effects from the Rev. Wright public relations disaster of earlier this week.

If you didn't see Mr. and Mrs. Obama, then I'll describe it for you. She looked angry. Aggravated. Unhappy. Period.

It was damage control about Rev. Jeremiah Wright and she had the look of someone who wasn't happy about doing damage control.

As for the polls, there is evidence that Hillary Clinton is building a lead in Indiana and closing on Barack Obama in North Carolina.

Now we have seen several times where Obama gained ground on Clinton in a state (Ohio and Pennsylvania come to mind) only to see Clinton pull away at the end.

Is that what we are in for in North Carolina? It's hard to tell.

But Obama's once double digit lead is now in the 7 point range. He can just about clinch the Democratic race with a decent showing there, offsetting any losses in Indiana.

I'll be in Indiana on Sunday to see Obama and Clinton.



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